Tuesday, January 18, 2022

“Dual Surge” Slams Los Angeles Hospitals; Covid Patient Count Up 75% In One Week

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The Delta and Omicron variants have been driving a “dual surge” in Covid-related infections in Los Angeles at this time, in keeping with well being officers. That led to the county reporting 16,510 new instances previously 24 hours, up 91% over the course of 1 week. It’s the best each day case rely since January 6 of this 12 months, in keeping with county information and one additionally of the best each day case counts of your entire pandemic.

The spike was almost a given contemplating the county’s 7-day take a look at positivity charge has risen 100% previously 7 days, from 8.8% every week in the past to 17.6%. That’s for a measure that’s averaged over seven days to remove peaks and valleys. Just a look on the county’s graph of take a look at positivity over the course of the pandemic appears to point it’s now rising at a steeper charge than at another time in the course of the pandemic — besides within the earliest days when just a few hundred checks have been being administered. See chart under.


Most regarding, the information level county well being officers have lengthy been most targeted on, hospitalizations, has begun to skyrocket. The variety of Covid-related hospitalizations has risen 75% previously week.

Seven days in the past, the county reported 770 sufferers with Covid-19. Today, that quantity had blasted forward to 1,367, in keeping with the California information dashboard, which is commonly someday head of the county’s providing. The latest surge marks the primary time such sufferers have numbered over 1,000 in additional than three months.

Health officers have lengthy apprehensive a few surge stressing capability at native hospitals that might result in much less per-patient therapy and so extra deaths. While Omicron is broadly thought-about to be much less virulent than Delta, it’s additionally far more transmissible. There is concern that, even when Omicron hospitalizations make up only a tiny fraction of whole infections, the tidal wave of instances pushed by a way more infectious variant may overwhelm the healthcare system.

California Public Health Director Dr. Tomás Aragón mentioned this week that latest state forecasts point out hospital surges are coming.

“Even if Omicron variant causes less severe disease (say, 50%), our modelers predict hospital surges for CA,” wrote Aragón on Twitter.

“Why? Omicron is so contagious that it finds unvaccinated/non-immune people who are most vulnerable for hospitalizations and deaths,” he noticed.

There is some excellent news on the Omicron entrance. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention revised estimates on its prevalence final week. While beforehand, it was thought to account for 73% of all instances within the U.S., Omicron is now estimated to account for 59% of all infections and Delta 41% of infections. In the week ending December 18th, 54% of L.A. County sequenced constructive instances have been Omicron variants. The new pressure was discovered in California on November 25.

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